Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.051921 0.059312 0.066931 0.075339 0.084326 0.093616 0.103915
2025-07-13 0.043624 0.054979 0.067304 0.081524 0.097339 0.114262 0.133616
2025-07-20 0.033559 0.046568 0.061389 0.079174 0.099617 0.122100 0.148426
2025-07-27 0.029359 0.043987 0.061288 0.082649 0.107773 0.135916 0.169378
2025-08-03 0.024798 0.040255 0.059241 0.083339 0.112294 0.145271 0.185016
2025-08-10 0.021072 0.037050 0.057405 0.083905 0.116359 0.153855 0.199572
2025-08-17 0.017476 0.033534 0.054797 0.083198 0.118634 0.160144 0.211304
2025-08-24 0.013442 0.028838 0.050214 0.079637 0.117125 0.161709 0.217300
2025-08-31 0.010487 0.025272 0.046795 0.077267 0.116841 0.164542 0.224626
2025-09-07 0.008668 0.023200 0.045235 0.077167 0.119273 0.170558 0.235663
2025-09-14 0.007482 0.021997 0.044796 0.078473 0.123425 0.178634 0.249147
2025-09-21 0.007059 0.022084 0.046224 0.082309 0.130837 0.190736 0.267520
2025-09-28 0.005647 0.020231 0.044799 0.082419 0.133764 0.197762 0.280380
2025-10-05 0.005695 0.021302 0.047978 0.089121 0.145518 0.216010 0.307195
2025-10-12 0.004051 0.018494 0.044821 0.086673 0.145076 0.218921 0.315228
2025-10-19 0.003653 0.018348 0.045923 0.090336 0.152780 0.232111 0.335921
2025-10-26 0.002887 0.017100 0.045072 0.091063 0.156482 0.240202 0.350314
2025-11-02 0.002232 0.015904 0.044189 0.091659 0.159954 0.247969 0.364294
2025-11-09 0.001560 0.014338 0.042490 0.090915 0.161510 0.253226 0.375115
2025-11-16 0.000821 0.011938 0.038972 0.087165 0.158739 0.252769 0.378679
2025-11-23 0.000397 0.010156 0.036371 0.084667 0.157591 0.254325 0.384701
2025-11-30 0.000207 0.009207 0.035315 0.084562 0.159783 0.260229 0.396203
2025-12-07 0.000117 0.008726 0.035183 0.085938 0.164084 0.268916 0.411256